9 citations · 9 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers
Interval Elicitation of Forecasts in a Prediction Market Reveals Lack of Anchoring "Bias"
Kenneth Olson, Kathryn Laskey, Charles Twardy
In an online prediction market, forecasters who could not see the current state of the market until they made their own separate estimates moved their estimates closer to the marke…
Trade-based Asset Model using Dynamic Junction Tree for Combinatorial Prediction Markets
Wei Sun, Kathryn Laskey, Charles Twardy +2
Prediction markets have demonstrated their value for aggregating collective expertise. Combinatorial prediction markets allow forecasts not only on base events, but also on conditi…
Probability and Asset Updating using Bayesian Networks for Combinatorial Prediction Markets
Wei Sun, Robin Hanson, Kathryn Blackmond Laskey +1
A market-maker-based prediction market lets forecasters aggregate information by editing a consensus probability distribution either directly or by trading securities that pay off…