111 citations · 404 across the 13 of their papers we have counts for
14 papers
Natural Time, Nowcasting and the Physics of Earthquakes: Estimation of Seismic Risk to Global Megacities
John B Rundle, Molly Luginbuhl, Alexis Giguere +1
This paper describes the use of the idea of natural time to propose a new method for characterizing the seismic risk to the world's major cities at risk of earthquakes. Rather than…
New numerical approaches for modeling thermochemical convection in a compositionally stratified fluid
Elbridge Gerry Puckett, Donald L Turcotte, Louise H Kellogg +3
Seismic imaging of the mantle has revealed large and small scale heterogeneities in the lower mantle; specifically structures known as large low shear velocity provinces (LLSVP) be…
A damage model for fracking
J. Quinn Norris, Donald L. Turcotte, John B. Rundle
Injections of large volumes of water into tight shale reservoirs allows the extraction of oil and gas not previously accessible. This large volume "super" fracking induces damage t…
Anisotropy in Fracking: A Percolation Model for Observed Microseismicity
J. Quinn Norris, Donald L. Turcotte, John B. Rundle
Hydraulic fracturing (fracking) using high pressures and a low viscosity fluid allow the extraction of large quantiles of oil and gas from very low permeability shale formations. T…
Earthquake Counting Method for Spatially Localized Probabilities: Challenges in Real-Time Information Delivery
James R Holliday, William R Graves, John B Rundle +1
We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a tem…
A damage model based on failure threshold weakening
Joseph D. Gran, John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte +2
A variety of studies have modeled the physics of material deformation and damage as examples of generalized phase transitions, involving either critical phenomena or spinodal nucle…