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physics.ao-ph2026
Model selection in extreme value regression for estimation of changes in return values over time applied to extreme annual regional CMIP6 desert temperatures
Callum Leach, Kevin Ewans, Philip Jonathan
Estimating changes in extremes quantiles from environmental processes non-stationary in time, from small samples is challenging since it is difficult to characterise tail non-stati…
physics.ao-ph2022
Uncertainties in estimating the effect of climate change on 100-year return value for significant wave height
Kevin Ewans, Philip Jonathan
Estimating climate effects on future ocean storm severity is plagued by large uncertainties, yet for safe design and operation of offshore structures, best possible estimates of cl…