110 citations · 419 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for
8 papers · 1 filter
Earthquake Counting Method for Spatially Localized Probabilities: Challenges in Real-Time Information Delivery
James R Holliday, William R Graves, John B Rundle +1
We develop and implement a new type of global earthquake forecast. Our forecast is a perturbation on a smoothed seismicity (Relative Intensity) spatial forecast combined with a tem…
A damage model based on failure threshold weakening
Joseph D. Gran, John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte +2
A variety of studies have modeled the physics of material deformation and damage as examples of generalized phase transitions, involving either critical phenomena or spinodal nucle…
A damage-mechanics model for fracture nucleation and propagation
G. Yakovlev, J. D. Gran, D. L. Turcotte +2
In this paper a composite model for earthquake rupture initiation and propagation is proposed. The model includes aspects of damage mechanics, fiber-bundle models, and slider-block…
Ergodicity in Natural Earthquake Fault Networks
K. F. Tiampo, J. B. Rundle, W. Klein +3
Numerical simulations have shown that certain driven nonlinear systems can be characterized by mean-field statistical properties often associated with ergodic dynamics [C.D. Fergus…
A RELM earthquake forecast based on pattern informatics
James R. Holliday, Chien-chih Chen, Kristy F. Tiampo +3
We present a RELM forecast of future earthquakes in California that is primarily based on the pattern informatics (PI) method. This method identifies regions that have systematic f…
Modification of the pattern informatics method for forecasting large earthquake events using complex eigenvectors
James R. Holliday, John B. Rundle, Kristy F. Tiampo +2
Recent studies have shown that real-valued principal component analysis can be applied to earthquake fault systems for forecasting and prediction. In addition, theoretical analysis…