activity
20242026
most citedGeneral Seemingly Unrelated Local Projections

1 citations · 1 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

econ.EM2026

Conditional projection methods for large-scale Bayesian VARs

Niko Hauzenberger, Michael Pfarrhofer

We develop fast methods for conditional forecasting and structural scenario analysis with high-dimensional Bayesian vector autoregressions (VARs). Our general framework features a…

econ.EM20261 cited

General Seemingly Unrelated Local Projections

Florian Huber, Christian Matthes, Michael Pfarrhofer

We develop a flexible framework for Bayesian estimation of impulse responses using Local Projections (LPs) with instrumental variables. It accommodates multiple shocks and instrume…

econ.EM2025

Scenario Analysis with Multivariate Bayesian Machine Learning Models

Michael Pfarrhofer, Anna Stelzer

We present an econometric framework that adapts tools for scenario analysis, such as variants of conditional forecasts and generalized impulse responses, for use with dynamic nonpa…

econ.EM2025

A Bayesian Gaussian Process Dynamic Factor Model

Tony Chernis, Niko Hauzenberger, Haroon Mumtaz +1

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of fl…

econ.EM2025

Large Bayesian VARs for Binary and Censored Variables

Joshua C. C. Chan, Michael Pfarrhofer

We extend the standard VAR to jointly model the dynamics of binary, censored and continuous variables, and develop an efficient estimation approach that scales well to high-dimensi…

econ.EM2024

High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks

Michael Pfarrhofer, Anna Stelzer

We explore the international transmission of monetary policy and central bank information shocks originating from the United States and the euro area. Employing a panel vector auto…