6 papers
Zero-inflated stochastic volatility model for disaggregated inflation data with exact zeros
Geonhee Han, Kaoru Irie
The disaggregated time-series for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) often exhibits exact zero price changes, stemming from structural features of the data collection process. However,…
On non-stationarity of the Poisson gamma state space models
Kaoru Irie, Tevfik Aktekin
The Poisson-gamma state space (PGSS) models have been utilized in the analysis of non-negative integer-valued time series to sequentially obtain closed form filtering and predictiv…
The Group R2D2 Shrinkage Prior for Sparse Linear Models with Grouped Covariates
Eric Yanchenko, Kaoru Irie, Shonosuke Sugasawa
Shrinkage priors are a popular Bayesian paradigm to handle sparsity in high-dimensional regression. Still limited, however, is a flexible class of shrinkage priors to handle groupe…
Outlier-Robust Bayesian Multivariate Analysis with Correlation-Intact Sandwich Mixture
Yasuyuki Hamura, Kaoru Irie, Shonosuke Sugasawa
Handling outliers is a fundamental challenge in multivariate data analysis because outliers may distort the structures of correlation or conditional independence. Although robust B…
State-Space Modeling of Shape-constrained Functional Time Series
Daichi Hiraki, Yasuyuki Hamura, Kaoru Irie +1
Functional time series data frequently appears in econometric analyses, where the functions of interest are subject to some shape constraints, including monotonicity and convexity,…
Quantifying uncertainty in the numerical integration of evolution equations based on Bayesian isotonic regression
Yuto Miyatake, Kaoru Irie, Takeru Matsuda
This paper presents a new Bayesian framework for quantifying discretization errors in numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations. By modelling the errors as random vari…