collaborators

4 papers

q-bio.PE2026

A Modelling Assessment of the Impact of Control Measures on Simulated Foot-and-Mouth Disease Spread in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Jacqueline Marques de Oliveira, Andre de Medeiros C. Lins +7

This study simulated the introduction of Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) into Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil, to evaluate the effectiveness of outbreak control strategies. Our susceptible…

q-bio.PE2025

First highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreak in a commercial farm in Brazil: outbreak timeline, control actions, risk analysis, and transmission modeling

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Francisco N. P. Lopes, Paulo A. S. C. de Souza +9

On May 15, 2025, Brazil reported its first highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreak in a commercial poultry breeder farm in Montenegro, Rio Grande do Sul. This study prese…

q-bio.PE2025

Simulating foot-and-mouth dynamics and control in Bolivia

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Diego Viali dos Santos, Daniel Magalhaaes Lima +3

Examining the dissemination dynamics of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is critical for revising national response plans. We developed a stochastic SEIR metapopulation model to simula…

q-bio.PE2025

Integrating epidemiological and economic models to estimate the cost of simulated foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks in Brazil

Nicolas C. Cardenas, Taís C. de Menezes, Amanda M. Countryman +5

The introduction of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) leads to substantial economic impacts through animal loss, decreased livestock and meat production, increased government and privat…