2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Hybrid ensemble forecasting combining physics-based and machine-learning predictions through spectral nudging
Inna Polichtchouk, Simon Lang, Sarah-Jane Lock +2
We present the first application of spectral nudging in a probabilistic ensemble forecasting framework, combining the physics-based ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System ensemble (IF…
physics.ao-ph2026
Diagnostic vs dynamic representation of the inverse barometer effect in a global ocean model and its potential for probabilistic storm surge forecasting
Nils Melsom Kristensen, Kristian Mogensen, Sarah-Jane Lock +1
The global ocean model NEMO is run in a series of stand-alone configurations (2015-2022) to investigate the potential for improving global medium-range storm surge forecasts by inc…