155 citations · 2.1k across the 84 of their papers we have counts for
15 papers · 1 filter
On a curious bias arising when the scaling prescription is first applied to a sub-sample of the individual results
Giulio D'Agostini
As it is well known, the standard deviation of a weighted average depends only on the individual standard deviations, but not on the dispersion of the values around the mean. This…
Skeptical combination of experimental results using JAGS/rjags with application to the K mass determination
Giulio D'Agostini
The question of how to combine experimental results that `appear' to be in mutual disagreement, treated in detail years ago in a previous paper, is revisited. The first novelty of…
The Waves and the Sigmas (To Say Nothing of the 750 GeV Mirage)
Giulio D'Agostini
This paper shows how p-values do not only create, as well known, wrong expectations in the case of flukes, but they might also dramatically diminish the `significance' of most like…
Learning about probabilistic inference and forecasting by playing with multivariate normal distributions
Giulio D'Agostini
The properties of the normal distribution under linear transformation, as well the easy way to compute the covariance matrix of marginals and conditionals, offer a unique opportuni…
Bertrand `paradox' reloaded (with details on transformations of variables, an introduction to Monte Carlo simulation and an inferential variation of the problem)
Giulio D'Agostini
This note is mainly to point out, if needed, that uncertainty about models and their parameters has little to do with a `paradox'. The proposed `solution' is to formulate practical…
Probably a discovery: Bad mathematics means rough scientific communication
G. D'Agostini
According to the media, in spring of this year the experiment CDF at Fermilab has made most likely ("this result has a 99.7 percent chance of being correct", Discovery News) a grea…