3 papers
cs.LG2026
Designing probabilistic AI monsoon forecasts to inform agricultural decision-making
Colin Aitken, Rajat Masiwal, Adam Marchakitus +7
Hundreds of millions of farmers make high-stakes decisions under uncertainty about future weather. Forecasts can inform these decisions, but available choices and their risks and b…
cs.LG2026
Decision-oriented benchmarking to transform AI weather forecast access: Application to the Indian monsoon
Rajat Masiwal, Colin Aitken, Adam Marchakitus +9
Artificial intelligence weather prediction (AIWP) models now often outperform traditional physics-based models on common metrics while requiring orders-of-magnitude less computing…
physics.ao-ph2025
Constraining Atmospheric River Uncertainty Using Instantaneous Poleward Latent Heat Transport
Ankur Mahesh, William D. Collins, William R. Boos +2
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are extreme weather events that play a crucial role in the global hydrological cycle. As a key mechanism of latent heat transport (LHT), they help maintain…