9 citations · 11 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for
8 papers
Forecasting Competitions with Correlated Events
Rafael Frongillo, Manuel Lladser, Anish Thilagar +1
Beginning with Witkowski et al. [2022], recent work on forecasting competitions has addressed incentive problems with the common winner-take-all mechanism. Frongillo et al. [2021]…
Consistent Polyhedral Surrogates for Top- Classification and Variants
Jessie Finocchiaro, Rafael Frongillo, Emma Goodwill +1
Top- classification is a generalization of multiclass classification used widely in information retrieval, image classification, and other extreme classification settings. Sever…
An Embedding Framework for the Design and Analysis of Consistent Polyhedral Surrogates
Jessie Finocchiaro, Rafael M. Frongillo, Bo Waggoner
We formalize and study the natural approach of designing convex surrogate loss functions via embeddings, for problems such as classification, ranking, or structured prediction. In…
Risk Dynamics in Trade Networks
Rafael M. Frongillo, Mark D. Reid
We introduce a new framework to model interactions among agents which seek to trade to minimize their risk with respect to some future outcome. We quantify this risk using the conc…
Market Making with Decreasing Utility for Information
Miroslav Dudík, Rafael Frongillo, Jennifer Wortman Vaughan
We study information elicitation in cost-function-based combinatorial prediction markets when the market maker's utility for information decreases over time. In the sudden revelati…
Generalized Mixability via Entropic Duality
Mark D. Reid, Rafael M. Frongillo, Robert C. Williamson +1
Mixability is a property of a loss which characterizes when fast convergence is possible in the game of prediction with expert advice. We show that a key property of mixability gen…