2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Constructing efficient score functions for rare event simulation in high-dimensional ocean-climate models
Lucas Esclapez, Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Reyk Börner +2
Calculating transition probabilities between different states of multistable climate tipping systems is computationally challenging in high-dimensional models. Targeted algorithms,…
physics.ao-ph2026
Quantification of the cascading tipping probability from the AMOC to the Amazon rainforest
Valérian Jacques-Dumas, Henk A. Dijkstra
The Amazon rainforest and the AMOC are considered to be tipping elements: they are important components of the Earth system, but may collapse under climate change. Moreover, an AMO…