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stat.ME2026
Breaking the Winner's Curse with Bayesian Hybrid Shrinkage
Richard Mudd, Abbas Zaidi, Rina Friedberg +3
The widespread adoption of randomized controlled trials (A/B Tests) for decision-making has introduced a pervasive "Winner's Curse": experiments selected for launch often exhibit u…
stat.ME2025
Breaking the Winner's Curse with Bayesian Hybrid Shrinkage
Richard Mudd, Rina Friedberg, Ilya Gorbachev +2
A 'Winner's Curse' arises in large-scale online experimentation platforms when the same experiments are used to both select treatments and evaluate their effects. In these settings…