4 papers
Hierarchy of extreme-event predictability in turbulence revealed by machine learning
Yuxuan Yang, Chenyu Dong, Gianmarco Mengaldo
Extreme-event predictability in turbulence is strongly state dependent, yet event-by-event predictability horizons are difficult to quantify without access to governing equations o…
Time-Lagged Recurrence: a data-driven method to estimate the predictability of dynamical systems
Chenyu Dong, Davide Faranda, Adriano Gualandi +2
Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in nature and they are hard to forecast. Not only they may be sensitive to small perturbations in their initial conditions, but they are…
Spatio-temporal Dynamical Indices for Complex Systems
Chenyu Dong, Gabriele Messori, Davide Faranda +3
Complex systems span multiple spatial and temporal scales, making their dynamics challenging to understand and predict. This challenge is especially daunting when one wants to stud…
XAI4Extremes: An interpretable machine learning framework for understanding extreme-weather precursors under climate change
Jiawen Wei, Aniruddha Bora, Vivek Oommen +7
Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction ski…