4 papers
A full software stack for epidemic disease management: Unlocking the joint potential of software technology and supercomputing
Jonas Gilg, Johann Fredrik Jadebeck, Mariama Jaiteh +22
Infectious diseases remain a major threat to human societies. During the recent COVID-19 pandemic, mathematical modeling and extensive computer simulations proved highly effective…
Simulation-based inference for rapid Bayesian parameter estimation in epidemiological models: a comparison with MCMC
Alina Bazarova, Johann Fredrik Jadebeck, Henrik Zunker +5
Mechanistic epidemiological models are widely used to support infectious disease forecasting and public-health decision making. Bayesian calibration of such models is commonly perf…
Mechanics of Pandemics
Seba Contreras, Philipp Dönges, Laura Müller +24
COVID-19 and previous pandemics have shown how diseases can disrupt, threaten, and transform daily life. Since pathogens and societies are continuously evolving, every pandemic is…
Testing Paradox May Explain Increased Observed Prevalence of Bacterial STIs among MSM on HIV PrEP: A Modeling Study
Laura Müller, Piklu Mallick, Antonio B. MarÃn-Carballo +6
HIV pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) has become essential for global HIV control, but its implementation coincides with rising bacterial STI rates among men who have sex with men (M…