3 papers
math.ST2026
On the relation between likelihood ratios and p-values for testing success probabilities of Bernoulli trials
Wouter Kager, Ronald Meester
It is well known that there is no direct one-to-one relation between -values and likelihood ratios or Bayes factors, since their relation crucially involves the sample size .…
math.ST2025
Reconciling common source, specific source, feature based and score based likelihood ratios
Aafko Boonstra, Ronald Meester, Klaas Slooten
We show that the incorporation of any new piece of information allows for improved decision making in the sense that the expected costs of an optimal decision decrease (or, in boun…
stat.AP2025
A Bayesian framework for analyzing alleged cheating in sports through hidden codes, with applications to bridge and baseball
Aafko Boonstra, Ronald Meester
We develop a statistical framework to evaluate evidence of alleged cheating involving illegal signaling in sports from a forensic perspective. We explain why, instead of a frequent…