conditional variance estimation 1Hölder smoothness 1minimax rates 1nonparametric regression 1random design 1
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math.ST2026
Adaptive Confidence Sets for Binary Regression without Design Smoothness
P. M. Aronow, Patrick Lopatto
We study honest adaptive confidence sets for the regression function in random-design binary regression under loss. Assuming only known bounds on…
math.ST2026
On Rates Attainable under Random Design: A Negative Answer to a Problem of Robins
P. M. Aronow, Patrick Lopatto
The paper proves that in nonparametric regression with random design, the conjectured optimal convergence rate for estimating a constant conditional variance is unattainable, estab…
math.ST2026
Minimax unbiased estimation for finite populations with bounded outcomes
P. M. Aronow, Patrick Lopatto
We study design-unbiased estimation of the finite-population total when each outcome satisfies known bounds . For any sampling design with inclu…