activity
20242026
collaborators

7 papers

stat.ME2026

Spatial vertical regression for spatial panel data: Evaluating the effect of the Florentine tramway's first line on commercial vitality

Giulio Grossi, Alessandra Mattei, Georgia Papadogeorgou

Synthetic control methods are commonly used in panel data settings to evaluate the effect of an intervention. In many of these cases, the treated and control units correspond to sp…

stat.ME2026

Spatial causal inference in the presence of unmeasured confounding and interference

Georgia Papadogeorgou, Srijata Samanta

This manuscript unites causal inference and spatial statistics, presenting novel insights for causal inference in spatial data analysis, and drawing from tools in spatial statistic…

stat.ME2025

Identification and efficient estimation of compliance and network causal effects in cluster-randomized trials

Chao Cheng, Georgia Papadogeorgou, Fan Li

Treatment noncompliance is pervasive in infectious disease cluster-randomized trials. Although all individuals within a cluster are assigned the same treatment condition, the treat…

stat.ME2025

Spatiotemporal causal inference with arbitrary spillover and carryover effects: Airstrikes and insurgent violence in the Iraq War

Mitsuru Mukaigawara, Kosuke Imai, Jason Lyall +1

Social scientists now routinely draw on high-frequency, high-granularity ''microlevel'' data to estimate the causal effects of subnational interventions. To date, most researchers…

stat.ME2025

Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects for Spatio-Temporal Causal Inference

Lingxiao Zhou, Kosuke Imai, Jason Lyall +1

Scholars from diverse fields increasingly rely on high-frequency spatio-temporal data. Yet, causal inference with these data remains challenging due to spatial spillover and tempor…

stat.ME2024

Bayesian inference for aggregated Hawkes processes

Lingxiao Zhou, Georgia Papadogeorgou

The Hawkes process, a self-exciting point process, has a wide range of applications in modeling earthquakes, social networks and stock markets. The established estimation process r…