9 papers
Combining BART and Principal Stratification to estimate the effect of intermediate variables on primary outcomes with application to estimating the effect of family planning on employment in Nigeria and Senegal
Lucas Godoy Garraza, Ilene Speizer, Leontine Alkema
There is interest in learning about the causal effects of modern contraceptive use on empowerment outcomes. Data on this question often come from family planning (FP) programs that…
Combining BART and Principal Stratification to estimate the effect of intermediate on primary outcomes with application to estimating the effect of family planning on employment in sub-Saharan Africa
Lucas Godoy Garraza, Ilene Speizer, Leontine Alkema
There is interest in learning about the causal effect of family planning (FP) on empowerment related outcomes. Experimental data related to this question are available from trials…
Bayesian Statistical Modeling in Action for Estimation and Forecasting in Low- and Middle-income Countries: The Case of the Family Planning Estimation Tool
Leontine Alkema, Herbert Susmann, Evan Ray +12
The Family Planning Estimation Tool (FPET) is used in low- and middle-income countries to produce estimates and short-term forecasts of family planning indicators, such as modern c…
Bayesian probabilistic projections of proportions with limited data: An application to subnational contraceptive method supply shares
Hannah Comiskey, Niamh Cahill, Leontine Alkema +2
Engaging the private sector in contraceptive method supply is critical for creating equitable, sustainable, and accessible healthcare systems. To achieve this, it is essential to u…
Principal Stratification with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees for Count-Valued Intermediate Variables: Estimating the Effect of Fertility on Women's Employment
Lucas Godoy Garraza, Leontine Alkema
Estimating the causal effect of fertility on women's employment is challenging because fertility and labour-market decisions are jointly determined. Instrumental-variable strategie…
Flexible Modeling of Demographic Transition Processes with a Bayesian Hierarchical B-splines Model
Herbert Susmann, Leontine Alkema
Several demographic and health indicators, including the total fertility rate (TFR) and modern contraceptive use rate (mCPR), evolve similarly over time, characterized by a transit…