2 papers
cs.SI2014
Interval Elicitation of Forecasts in a Prediction Market Reveals Lack of Anchoring "Bias"
Kenneth Olson, Kathryn Laskey, Charles Twardy
In an online prediction market, forecasters who could not see the current state of the market until they made their own separate estimates moved their estimates closer to the marke…
cs.GT2014
Trade-based Asset Model using Dynamic Junction Tree for Combinatorial Prediction Markets
Wei Sun, Kathryn Laskey, Charles Twardy +2
Prediction markets have demonstrated their value for aggregating collective expertise. Combinatorial prediction markets allow forecasts not only on base events, but also on conditi…