5 papers
Early Academic Capital as the Causal Origin of Dropout in Constrained Educational Systems -- Evidence from Longitudinal Data and Structural Causal Models
Hugo Roger Paz
Dropout in higher education is commonly analysed through observable academic events such as course failure or repetition. However, these event-based perspectives may obscure the un…
The Causal Effect of First-Time Academic Failure on University Dropout: Evidence from a Regression Discontinuity Design
H. R. Paz
University dropout remains a persistent challenge in higher education systems, yet causal evidence on the mechanisms triggering early disengagement is limited. This study estimates…
Dual Stressors in Engineering Education: Lagged Causal Effects of Academic Staff Strikes and Inflation on Dropout within the CAPIRE Framework
H. R. Paz
This study provides a causal validation of the dual-stressor hypothesis in a long-cycle engineering programme in Argentina, testing whether academic staff strikes (proximal shocks)…
The Promotion Wall: Efficiency-Equity Trade-offs of Direct Promotion Regimes in Engineering Education
H. R. Paz
Progression and assessment rules are often treated as administrative details, yet they fundamentally shape who is allowed to remain in higher education, and on what terms. This art…
CAPIRE: Modelling the Impact of Teacher Strikes and Inflation on Student Trajectories in Engineering Education
H. R Paz
This study extends the CAPIRE framework with a macro-shock module to analyse the impact of teacher strikes and inflation on student trajectories in engineering education. Using dat…