3 papers
math.ST2026
Fuzzy Prediction Sets: Conformal Prediction with E-values
Nick W. Koning, Sam van Meer
Prediction sets offer a binary inclusion/exclusion for each element at the same fixed confidence level. We generalize to fuzzy prediction sets, which exclude elements at their own…
math.ST2025
Anytime Validity is Free: Inducing Sequential Tests
Nick W. Koning, Sam van Meer
Anytime valid sequential tests permit us to stop testing based on the current data, without invalidating the inference. Given a maximum number of observations , one may believe…
econ.EM2025
Real-time Program Evaluation using Anytime-valid Rank Tests
Sam van Meer, Nick W. Koning
Counterfactual mean estimators such as difference-in-differences and synthetic control have grown into workhorse tools for program evaluation. Inference for these estimators is wel…