Predicting Delayed Train Trajectories on the Dutch Railway Network: Explainable AI Evaluation of Topological, Operational and Weather Features with Tree Based Ensemble Methods

Jia Long Bao, Ali Mohammed Mansoor Alsahag, Seyed Sahand Mohammadi Ziabari

The reliable prediction of passenger train delays is a critical component of railway management. While contemporary research frequently attempts to maximize absolute accuracy by de…