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stat.AP2025
Bayesian Projection of Extant Refugee and Asylum Seeker Populations
Herbert Susmann, Adrian E. Raftery
Estimates of future migration patterns are of broad interest in demography. Forced migration, including refugee and asylum seekers, plays an important role in overall migration pat…
stat.AP2024
US COVID-19 school closure was not cost-effective, but other measures were
Nicholas J. Irons, Adrian E. Raftery
Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in response to the COVID-19 pandemic necessitated a trade-off between the health impacts of viral spread and the social and economic costs o…
stat.AP2024
Forecasting Net Migration By Age: The Flow-Difference Approach
Hana Å evÄÃková, James Raymer, Adrian E. Raftery
Most population projection models require age-specific information on net migration totals as a key demographic component of population change. Existing methods for predicting futu…