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physics.ao-ph2024

Atmospheric Centers of Action: current features and expected changes from simulations with CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

I. I. Mokhov, A. M. Osipov, A. V. Chernokulsky

The results of an analysis of changes in the characteristics of atmospheric centers of action (ACAs) in the Northern (NH) and Southern (SH) hemispheres using results of simulations…

physics.ao-ph2024

Contributions of greenhouse gases and solar activity to global climate change from CMIP6 models simulations

Igor I. Mokhov, Dmitry A. Smirnov

Quantitative estimates of the contributions of the anthropogenic forcing, characterized by changes in the radiative forcing of atmospheric greenhouse gases (CO2, in particular), an…

physics.ao-ph2024

Predictability of climate anomalies in the regions of Northern Eurasia in the spring-summer months in 2024 in connection with El Nino

I. I. Mokhov

The predictability of climate anomalies in the regions of Northern Eurasia in connection with El Nino phenomena is analyzed. Particular attention is paid to the most likely transit…

physics.ao-ph2023

Natural sinks and sources of CO2 and CH4 in the atmosphere of Russian regions and their contribution to climate change in the 21st century as calculated with CMIP6 model ensemble

S. N. Denisov, I. I. Mokhov

The natural fluxes of CO2 and CH4 into the atmosphere from the territory of Russia in the 21st century have been analyzed using the results of calculations with the ensemble of glo…

physics.ao-ph2021

Empirical estimation of anthropogenic and natural contributions to surface air temperature trends at different latitudes

I. I. Mokhov, D. A. Smirnov

How strong are quantitative contributions of the key natural modes of climate variability and the anthropogenic factor characterized by the changes of the radiative forcing of gree…