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physics.geo-ph2010★ 25 cited
Adaptively Smoothed Seismicity Earthquake Forecasts for Italy
M. J. Werner, A. Helmstetter, D. D. Jackson +2
We present a model for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes of magnitudes m > 4.95 in Italy. The model, a slightly modified version of the one proposed for California…
physics.geo-ph2010★ 6 cited
Retrospective Evaluation of the Five-Year and Ten-Year CSEP-Italy Earthquake Forecasts
M. J. Werner, J. D. Zechar, W. Marzocchi +1
On 1 August 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched a prospective and comparative earthquake predictability experiment in Italy. T…