4 papers
A behavioral interpretation of belief functions
Timber Kerkvliet, Ronald Meester
Shafer's belief functions were introduced in the seventies of the previous century as a mathematical tool in order to model epistemic probability. One of the reasons that they were…
Quantifying knowledge with a new calculus for belief functions - a generalization of probability theory
Timber Kerkvliet, Ronald Meester
We first show that there are practical situations in for instance forensic and gambling settings, in which applying classical probability theory, that is, based on the axioms of Ko…
Assessing forensic evidence by computing belief functions
Timber Kerkvliet, Ronald Meester
We first discuss certain problems with the classical probabilistic approach for assessing forensic evidence, in particular its inability to distinguish between lack of belief and d…
The supertask of an infinite lottery
Timber Kerkvliet
We mathematically model the supertask, introduced by Hansen, in which an infinity of gods together select a random natural number by each randomly removing a finite number of balls…