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physics.hist-ph2017★ 3 cited
An Antidote for Hawkmoths: On the prevalence of structural chaos in non-linear modeling
Lukas Nabergall, Alejandro Navas, Eric Winsberg
This paper deals with the question of whether uncertainty regarding model structure, especially in climate modeling, exhibits a kind of "chaos." Do small changes in model structure…
physics.hist-ph2016
Hawking Radiation and Analogue Experiments: A Bayesian Analysis
Radin Dardashti, Stephan Hartmann, Karim P. Y. Thébault +1
We present a Bayesian analysis of the epistemology of analogue experiments with particular reference to Hawking radiation. First, we prove that such experiments can be confirmatory…