collaborators

6 papers

cs.LG2026

Latent-Regime Bias Auditing for Volatility Forecasting

Arthur Chagas, Pedro Bento, Yan Aquino +3

Volatility forecasts are commonly evaluated with aggregate accuracy metrics such as RMSE and MAE, but these metrics can hide conditional failures that matter for risk management. T…

q-fin.CP2026

Subset second-order stochastic dominance for enhanced indexation with diversification enforced by sector constraints

Cristiano Arbex Valle, John E Beasley, Nigel Meade

In this paper we apply second-order stochastic dominance (SSD) to the problem of enhanced indexation with asset subset (sector) constraints. The problem we consider is how to const…

q-fin.PM2026

Asset pre-selection for a cardinality constrained index tracking portfolio with optional enhancement

N. Meade, C. A. Valle, J. E. Beasley

Index trackers are important passive investments offering the return and risk of the market encapsulated by the index, the largest US index tracker was valued at $900 billion in ea…

cs.LG2026

Inference-Time Decision Calibration for Temporal Classification

Arthur Chagas, Arthur Buzelin, Yan Aquino +4

Temporal classification errors are often treated as representation failures, but they can also arise from how available evidence is converted into decisions. This paper proposes a…

q-fin.CP2026

Enhanced indexation using both equity assets and index options

Cristiano Arbex Valle, John E Beasley

In this paper we consider how we can include index options in enhanced indexation. We present the concept of an \enquote{option strategy} which enables us to treat options as an ar…

q-fin.PM2024

Portfolio optimisation: bridging the gap between theory and practice

Cristiano Arbex Valle

Portfolio optimisation is essential in quantitative investing, but its implementation faces several practical difficulties. One particular challenge is converting optimal portfolio…