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cs.LG2026
Latent-Regime Bias Auditing for Volatility Forecasting
Arthur Chagas, Pedro Bento, Yan Aquino +3
Volatility forecasts are commonly evaluated with aggregate accuracy metrics such as RMSE and MAE, but these metrics can hide conditional failures that matter for risk management. T…
cs.LG2026
Inference-Time Decision Calibration for Temporal Classification
Arthur Chagas, Arthur Buzelin, Yan Aquino +4
Temporal classification errors are often treated as representation failures, but they can also arise from how available evidence is converted into decisions. This paper proposes a…