2 papers
stat.AP2021
Application of the Pythagorean Expected Wins Percentage and Cross-Validation Methods in Estimating Team Quality
Christopher Boudreaux, Justin Ehrlich, Shankar Ghimire +1
The Pythagorean Expected Wins Percentage Model was developed by Bill James to estimate a baseball team expected wins percentage over the course of a season. As such, the model can…
econ.EM2021
An Analysis of an Alternative Pythagorean Expected Win Percentage Model: Applications Using Major League Baseball Team Quality Simulations
Justin Ehrlich, Christopher Boudreaux, James Boudreau +1
We ask if there are alternative contest models that minimize error or information loss from misspecification and outperform the Pythagorean model. This article aims to use simulate…