33 citations · 41 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for
3 papers
Revealing the statistics of extreme events hidden in short weather forecast data
Justin Finkel, Edwin P. Gerber, Dorian S. Abbot +1
Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on…
Data-driven transition path analysis yields a statistical understanding of sudden stratospheric warming events in an idealized model
Justin Finkel, Robert J. Webber, Edwin P. Gerber +2
Atmospheric regime transitions are highly impactful as drivers of extreme weather events, but pose two formidable modeling challenges: predicting the next event (weather forecastin…
Learning forecasts of rare stratospheric transitions from short simulations
Justin Finkel, Robert J. Webber, Dorian S. Abbot +2
Rare events arising in nonlinear atmospheric dynamics remain hard to predict and attribute. We address the problem of forecasting rare events in a prototypical example, Sudden Stra…