Precursors, Pathways, and State-Dependent Reliability of Long-range ENSO Prediction in the CESM2 Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble

Yudi Mao, Gan Zhang, Hui Li +3

Understanding the sources of ENSO prediction skill and error is essential for improving long-range climate prediction. Here we examine ENSO precursors in CESM2 Seasonal-to-Multiyea…