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stat.ME2022
Approximating optimal SMC proposal distributions in individual-based epidemic models
Lorenzo Rimella, Christopher Jewell, Paul Fearnhead
Many epidemic models are naturally defined as individual-based models: where we track the state of each individual within a susceptible population. Inference for individual-based m…
stat.ME2012
Enhancing Bayesian risk prediction for epidemics using contact tracing
Chris Jewell, Gareth Roberts
Contact tracing data collected from disease outbreaks has received relatively little attention in the epidemic modelling literature because it is thought to be unreliable: infectio…