63 citations · 295 across the 14 of their papers we have counts for
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q-fin.GN2016★ 20 cited
Long-run evolution of the global economy - Part 2: Hindcasts of innovation and growth
Timothy J. Garrett
Long-range climate forecasts use integrated assessment models to link the global economy to greenhouse gas emissions. This paper evaluates an alternative economic framework outline…
q-fin.GN2013★ 53 cited
Thermodynamics of long-run economic innovation and growth
Timothy J. Garrett
This article derives prognostic expressions for the evolution of globally aggregated economic wealth, productivity, inflation, technological change, innovation and growth. The appr…
q-fin.GN2012★ 2 cited
Can we predict long-run economic growth?
Timothy J. Garrett
For those concerned with the long-term value of their accounts, it can be a challenge to plan in the present for inflation-adjusted economic growth over coming decades. Here, I arg…