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math.ST2026
Sharp Causal Bounds for Dynamic Treatment Regimes
Alexander Alvarez, Sebastian E. Ferrando
We study dynamic treatment regimes under contemporaneous confounding: at each stage, an unmeasured factor may affect both treatment and the next observed state, but has no further…
math.OC2026
Baseball, An Extensive-Form Game-Theoretic Duel
Sebastian E. Ferrando, Eli Kohn
We formulate a baseball plate appearance as a finite two-person, zero-sum, extensive-form game with chance moves and imperfect information. Successive pitch cycles are connected th…