activity
20112021
most citedForecasting hospital demand during COVID-19 pandemic outbreaks

6 citations · 13 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

9 papers

stat.AP2021

Bayesian sequential data assimilation for COVID-19 forecasting

Maria L. Daza-Torres, Marcos A. Capistrán, Antonio Capella +1

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and pr…

stat.AP20202 cited

A simulation study to compare 210Pb dating data analyses

Marco A Aquino-López, Nicole K. Sanderson, Maarten Blaauw +4

The increasing interest in understanding anthropogenic impacts on the environment have led to a considerable number of studies focusing on sedimentary records for the last 1…

stat.ME20201 cited

Filtering and improved Uncertainty Quantification in the dynamic estimation of effective reproduction numbers

Marcos A. Capistrán, Antonio Capella, J. Andrés Christen

The effective reproduction number measures an infectious disease's transmissibility as the number of secondary infections in one reproduction time in a population having both…

q-bio.PE20206 cited

Forecasting hospital demand during COVID-19 pandemic outbreaks

Marcos A. Capistran, Antonio Capella, J. Andres Christen

We present a compartmental SEIRD model aimed at forecasting hospital occupancy in metropolitan areas during the current COVID-19 outbreak. The model features asymptomatic and sympt…

stat.AP2020

Systematic statistical analysis of microbial data from dilution series

J Andrés Christen, Al Parker

In microbial studies, samples are often treated under different experimental conditions and then tested for microbial survival. A technique, dating back to the 1880's, consists of…

stat.OT2020

Error control in the numerical posterior distribution in the Bayesian UQ analysis of a semilinear evolution PDE

Maria L. Daza-Torres, J. Cricelio Montesinos-López, Marcos A. Capistrán +2

We elaborate on results obtained in \cite{christen2018} for controlling the numerical posterior error for Bayesian UQ problems, now considering forward maps arising from the soluti…