69 citations · 92 across the 4 of their papers we have counts for
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q-bio.PE2020★ 69 cited
On the uncertainty of real-time predictions of epidemic growths: a COVID-19 case study for China and Italy
Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda
While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available dat…
math.DS2020
Extreme value distributions of observation recurrences
Théophile Caby, Davide Faranda, Sandro Vaienti +1
We study analytically and numerically the extreme value distribution of observables defined along the temporal evolution of a dynamical system. The convergence to the Gumbel law of…