21 citations · 25 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for
6 papers · 1 filter
Global economic dynamics of the forthcoming years. A forecast
Askar Akaev, Andrey Korotayev
The paper analyzes the current state of the world economy and offers a short-term forecast of its development. Our analysis of log-periodic oscillations in the DJIA dynamics sugges…
Negative oil price bubble is likely to burst in March - May 2016. A forecast on the basis of the law of log-periodical dynamics
Alexey Fomin, Andrey Korotayev, Julia Zinkina
Data analysis with log-periodical parametrization of the Brent oil price dynamics has allowed to estimate (very approximately) the date when the dashing collapse of the Brent oil p…
Global Inflation Dynamics: regularities & forecasts
Askar Akaev, Andrey Korotayev, Alexey Fomin
The analysis of dollar inflation performed by the authors through the approximation of empirical data for 1913-2012 with a power-law function with an accelerating log-periodic osci…
A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE - 1973 CE
Andrey Korotayev, Artemy Malkov
We propose an extremely simple mathematical model that is shown to be able to account for more than 99 per cent of all the variation in economic and demographic macrodynamics of th…
The Second Wave of the Global Crisis? A Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis of Commodity Price Series
Askar Akaev, Alexei Fomin, Andrey Korotayev
This article continues our analysis of the gold price dynamics that was published in December 2010 (abs/1012.4118) and forecasted the possibility of the "burst of the gold bubble"…
Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis and Possible Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April - June 2011
Sergey V. Tsirel, Askar Akaev, Alexey Fomin +1
This working paper analyzes the gold price dynamics on the basis of methodology developed by Didier Sornette. Our calculations indicate that this dynamics is close to the one of th…