5 papers
Planetary climate interactions of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau
Ziyan Wang, Teng Liu, Shang Wang +10
The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), Earth's "Third Pole", profoundly shapes the Asian monsoon and regional climate and exerts far-reaching influence on the global climate system. Ye…
A Regime Shift in Atlantic Surface Currents Reveals a Step-like Decline of the Meridional Overturning Circulation
Han Huang, Ningning Tao, Hongyu Wang +8
The Atlantic surface currents associated with the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) play a central role in regulating Earth's climate, yet their large scale dynami…
Forecasting Return Time of Extreme Precipitation by Large Deviation Theory
Haotian Xie, Haoxian Liu, Jingfang Fan +1
Forecasting extreme precipitation is essential yet challenging due to its rarity and complexity. We develop a large deviation framework to estimate the return times of extreme prec…
The Interdecadal Bipolar Oscillation: An Atmospheric Water Vapor Mode Driving Asynchronous Polar Climate Change
Hongyu Wang, Jingfang Fan, Fei Xie +5
Climate change is progressing asynchronously between the Arctic and Antarctic, with important implications for global climate dynamics. While the Arctic has experienced rapid warmi…
Long-term prediction of ENSO with physics-guided Deep Echo State Networks
Zejing Zhang, Jun Meng, Zhongpu Qiu +9
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a dominant mode of interannual climate variability, yet the mechanisms limiting its long-lead predictability remain unclear. Here we dev…