3 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Probabilistic inference of surface parameters for Monin-Obukhov similarity theory
Ethan YoungIn Shin, Michael F. Howland
In simulations of atmospheric flow, the grid spacing typically exceeds the size of the roughness elements at the surface by an order of magnitude. The unresolved effects of surface…
physics.ao-ph2026
Connecting the forward problem to the inverse problem in uncertainty quantification of Earth system models using fast emulators
Ethan YoungIn Shin, Baris Kale, Michael F. Howland
Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used…
physics.flu-dyn2025
Accelerated Bayesian calibration and uncertainty quantification of RANS turbulence model parameters for stratified atmospheric boundary layer flows
E. Y. Shin, M. F. Howland
In operational weather models, the effects of turbulence in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) on the resolved flow are modeled using turbulence parameterizations. These paramete…