3 papers
cs.LG2026
Unlocking the Forecasting Economy: A Suite of Datasets for the Full Lifecycle of Prediction Market: [Experiments \& Analysis]
Huaiyu Jia, Luofeng Zhou, Wentao Zhang +3
Prediction markets are markets for trading claims on future events, such as presidential elections, and their prices provide continuously updated signals of collective beliefs. In…
cs.LG2026
Towards Event-Aware Forecasting in DeFi: Insights from On-chain Automated Market Maker Protocols
Huaiyu Jia, Jiehshun You, Yizhi Luo +2
Automated Market Makers (AMMs), as a core infrastructure of decentralized finance (DeFi), uniquely drive on-chain asset pricing through a deterministic reserve ratio mechanism. Unl…
cs.LG2025
FineFT: Efficient and Risk-Aware Ensemble Reinforcement Learning for Futures Trading
Molei Qin, Xinyu Cai, Yewen Li +5
Futures are contracts obligating the exchange of an asset at a predetermined date and price, notable for their high leverage and liquidity and, therefore, thrive in the Crypto mark…