2 papers
physics.geo-ph2026
Extrapolation from historical data cannot reliably predict the time of a potential AMOC collapse
Andreas Morr, Maya Ben-Yami, Brian Groenke +6
Ditlevsen and Ditlevsen [Nature Communications, 2023] (DD23 hereafter) propose a statistical framework to estimate the timing of a potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Ove…
stat.ME2026
Bayesian identification of early warning signals for long-range dependent climatic time series
Sigrunn H. Sørbye, Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, Håvard Rue
Detecting early warning signals in climatic time series is essential for anticipating critical transitions and tipping points. Common statistical indicators include increased varia…