3 papers
physics.geo-ph2026
Calendar Time Local Earthquake Forecasts from Earthquake Nowcasts: A Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Ensemble Method
John B Rundle, Ian Baughmann, Andrea Donnellan +3
This paper presents a new technical method for computing calendar time forecasts in a local area for large earthquakes of a target magnitude MT using a count small earthquakes MS <…
cs.LG2024
Time Series Foundation Models and Deep Learning Architectures for Earthquake Temporal and Spatial Nowcasting
Alireza Jafari, Geoffrey Fox, John B. Rundle +2
Advancing the capabilities of earthquake nowcasting, the real-time forecasting of seismic activities remains a crucial and enduring objective aimed at reducing casualties. This mul…
physics.geo-ph2024
Nowcasting Earthquakes with QuakeGPT: Methods and First Results
John B. Rundle, Geoffrey Fox, Andrea Donnellan +1
Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using observable seis…