most citedThe Costs of Pretending That There Are Data-Generating Probability Distributions in the Social World

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cs.CL2026

Limits to Predicting Online Speech Using Large Language Models

Mina Remeli, Moritz Hardt, Robert C. Williamson

Our paper studies the predictability of online speech -- that is, how well language models learn to model the distribution of user generated content on X (previously Twitter). We d…