2 papers
cs.LG2026
Generative diffusion models for spatiotemporal influenza forecasting
Joseph Lemaitre, Justin Lessler
Forecasting infectious disease incidence can provide important information to guide public health planning, yet is difficult because epidemic dynamics are complex. Current mechanis…
cs.AI2025
Assessing model error in counterfactual worlds
Emily Howerton, Justin Lessler
Counterfactual scenario modeling exercises that ask "what would happen if?" are one of the most common ways we plan for the future. Despite their ubiquity in planning and decision…