4 papers
Exceedance Probabilities for Large Earthquakes From DIY Local Earthquake Ensemble Nowcasting and Forecasting
John B Rundle, Ian Baughman, Andrea Donnellan +3
This paper focuses on the problem of anticipating the local occurrence of future large earthquakes. "Local" is defined as the probability of a large earthquake occurring with a def…
Seismic quiescence and activation prior to the 2025 M8.8 Kamchatka, Russia earthquake
K. Z. Nanjo, J. Yazbeck, I. T. Baughman +1
The 29 July 2025 Kamchatka earthquake, of magnitude M8.8 in the Kamchatka-Kuril subduction system, provides a unique opportunity to investigate the preparatory processes of a great…
Non-randomness of Japan megaquakes implied by stress recovery and accumulation
K. Z. Nanjo, T. Hori, D. Iwata
Monitoring stress recovery and accumulation associated with megaquakes helps to assess their recurrence. Previous studies proposed a high likelihood of imminent recurrence for the…
Changes in seismicity in a volcanically active region of the Izu Peninsula, Japan
K. Z. Nanjo, Y. Yukutake, T. Kumazawa
The eastern Izu Peninsula in Japan is volcanically and seismically active. Ordinary earthquakes frequently occurred at shallow depths in 2006 and 2009, when they clustered as swarm…