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stat.ME2026
The Certainty Bound: Structural Limits on Scientific Reliability
Marco Pollanen
Explanations of the replication crisis often emphasize misconduct, questionable research practices, or incentive misalignment, implying that behavioral reform is sufficient. This p…
stat.ME2025
The Probabilistic Foundations of Surveillance Failure: From False Alerts to Structural Bias
Marco Pollanen
For decades, forensic statisticians have debated whether searching large DNA databases undermines the evidential value of a match. Modern surveillance faces an exponentially harder…