2 papers
stat.AP2024
Rare event probability estimation for groundwater inverse problems with a two-stage Sequential Monte Carlo approach
Lea Friedli, Niklas Linde
Bayesian inversions followed by estimations of rare event probabilities are often needed to analyse groundwater hazards. Instead of focusing on the posterior distribution of model…
stat.ME2023
An energy-based model approach to rare event probability estimation
Lea Friedli, David Ginsbourger, Arnaud Doucet +1
The estimation of rare event probabilities plays a pivotal role in diverse fields. Our aim is to determine the probability of a hazard or system failure occurring when a quantity o…