4 papers
The Design and Composition of Structural Causal Decision Processes
Sebastian Benthall, Alan Lujan
We present two new classes of causal models of decision-making agents. Our approach is motivated by the needs of modeling the economics of computing systems. These systems are comp…
Separable Pathways for Causal Reasoning: How Architectural Scaffolding Enables Hypothesis-Space Restructuring in LLM Agents
John Alderete, Sebastian Benthall, Sebastian Benthal +2
Causal discovery through experimentation and intervention is fundamental to robust problem solving. It requires not just updating beliefs within a fixed framework but revising the…
Validity Is What You Need
Sebastian Benthall, Andrew Clark
While AI agents have long been discussed and studied in computer science, today's Agentic AI systems are something new. We consider other definitions of Agentic AI and propose a ne…
GARCH-Informed Neural Networks for Volatility Prediction in Financial Markets
Zeda Xu, John Liechty, Sebastian Benthall +2
Volatility, which indicates the dispersion of returns, is a crucial measure of risk and is hence used extensively for pricing and discriminating between different financial investm…